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Pat Mahomes Fantasy Outlook | Quarterback Rankings

Written by Christian Skutevik


$503 Million Dollar Man

If you want to know how good Mahomes is just take a quick look at the shiny new contract the KC Chiefs just gave him. A 10-year contract extension worth up to $503 million dollars($45 million a year) in incentives, as well as $63 million guaranteed and $141 million guaranteed in the event of an injury, that kind of money talks. Let's put that deal in perspective, the next largest contract is a 4 year $140 million dollar deal held by Russel Wilson. Mahomes will earn slightly over 22% of the Chief's salary cap, meanwhile, the highest cap% a player has earned and still won a super was Tom Brady at just over 12%.


Worth the $$$

Let's set the record straight. I'm not certain teams should pay any player that kind of money, but Mahomes is the most valuable player in the NFL. The Chiefs knew this back before the 2018 season when they had no problem replacing Alex Smith. Despite the fact that he was coming off of a solid year where he scored 27 TDs and recorded a quarterback rating of 104.7, they clearly made the right call going all-in on Pat Mahomes. He finished the year with a whopping 52 TDs, over 5,000 passing yards, and a well earned NFL MVP award.

In 2018 Patrick Mahomes scored 26 fantasy points per game for a total 417 fantasy point on the season, the most fantasy points a quarterback has ever scored in a single season.

Coming off of his MVP season, many people felt Mahomes took a step backward but did he regress, or is it simply a matter of perception? He finished '19 with just 29 touchdowns compared to 52 touchdowns the year prior. However, he did miss 2 1/2 games due to injury. Had Mahomes played the whole season without injury he would have finished 2nd behind Lamar Jackson in fantasy points. Over the last 2 years, he has averaged 25 fantasy points per game, the most among all quarterbacks. Over those 2 seasons he has played in 30 games, and in those games, he has finished as a top 12 fantasy QB 73% of the time for a total of 22 games and 47% of the time he has finished as a top 5 fantasy QB for a total of 14 games.


Top-End Weapons

With weapons like Tyreek Hill and Travis Kelce, it's no wonder Mahomes has been such a prolific fantasy QB. Over the last 5 years, Travis Kelce leads all TEs in targets, receptions, yards, and TDs. In fact, he is the only TE to average over 1,000 yards a season over that same span. Tyreek Hill has finished top 10 in both yards/game and yards/target, while his 21 TDs outscores all other receivers over the last 2 years. The addition of running back Clyde Edwards-Helaire should offer even more talent out the backfield, and receivers Sammy Watkins and Mecole Hardman round out the best receiving corps in the league.


Decision

Electric playmaker, that is the phrase that comes to mind when thinking of Pat Mahomes. He has the best arm in the NFL and arguably the best weapons to throw to, what else matters? Honestly, I have no concerns for Pat Mahomes' fantasy value. He is an elite fantasy quarterback and he will be for the foreseeable future.

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